For the third day in a row, the number of hospitalized Corona patients have gone down in Denmark. I got emotional when I saw it the first day, because until then, the curve had been climibing every day. The number of dead pr day is still going up, and will do so for a period of time, because of the delay between hospitalization and death. So the lockdown is working. Our prime minister communicated that the lockdown may be partially lifted after a week or two more. Unfortunately, this was taken by Some as a sign to slack, and some people started non-distancing behaviour. This is very unfortunate, and will prolong lockdown and losses, both in lives and economic. But humans are humans, some need to experience actual death close to themselves before listening to reason... Because we locked down so early, we have not been hit hard. Just spreading the word: until we have a vaccine, we need to be fighting that “R0”. R0 is the number of people an infected person will infect during their infectious period. Lockdown, hand wash, massive testing and quaranteening, etc etc all work on lowering R0. R0 for the flu is 1,3, so each infected will in average infect 1,3 people. For Corona, it is 2,6. The flu has an estimated infected mortality rate of 0,1% The estimated infected mortality rate for Corona is around 1%. This assumes modern treatment is available, or this rate is much higher. So 2x on how infectious it is compared to flu, and 10x the mortality rate (if intensive care is abundant). So about 20x as lethal. When we fight the virus with measures that lowers contagion, like lockdown, self-quaranteening, mouth scarves, etc etc, we modify the R0. If R0 goes below 1 (and stays there), the disease begins to shrink, until the last person is no longer infectious: this takes a number of infection cycles. If you have 1000 infected, and R0 is 0,9, then you will have 900 after one infection cycle, 810 after two, etc etc. However, if the R0 is much lower, the number of infected goes down much faster. Example, if it is 0,5 the numbers look like this: 1000 —> 500 —> 250 etc. This is the reason it is so important to stay vigilant and smart, until everybody has been vaccinated. We can steer around aa long long disease ramp down, if almost everybody keeps up the discioline, even after the numbers start to improve.